+Updated 2024/03/01 14:19 +
+The US RSV Forecast Hub is as a collaborative forecasting effort to +produce weekly short-term forecasts of weekly laboratory-confirmed RSV +hospital admissions for the US and individual states. Each week, +participants are asked to provide national- and jurisdiction-specific +probabilistic forecasts of the weekly number of confirmed RSV +hospitalizations for the following four weeks. The US RSV Forecast Hub +is open to any team willing to provide projections at the right temporal +and spatial scales. We only require that participating teams share point +estimates and uncertainty bounds, along with a short model description +and answers to a list of key questions about design.
+Those interested in participating, please see the README file in the +Github +repository.
+If you are interested in longer-term scenario projections of RSV in +the US, please take a look at the US RSV Scenario Modeling +Hub.
+RSV hospital admission forecasts for the United States +(national-level) for all age groups (0-130yr):
+ + +State-level forecasts
+ + +National-level forecasts by Age
+ + +State-level forecasts by Age
+Evaluation will begin 4 weeks after the first submission.
+Previous weeks’ forecasts are available in the archive and can be +accessed in the links below. These forecasts are not updated with +updated ground truth data, thus the ground truth data may differ between +them as data are back-filled.
+ +The Respiratory Syncytial Virus Hospitalization Surveillance Network +(RSV-NET) is a network that conducts active, population-based +surveillance for laboratory-confirmed RSV-associated hospitalizations in +children younger than 18 years of age and adults. The network currently +includes 58 counties in 12 states that participate in the Emerging +Infections Program (California, Colorado, Connecticut, Georgia, +Maryland, Minnesota, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, and Tennessee) or the +Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Program (Michigan and Utah). Age- +and state-specific data on laboratory-confirmed RSV hospitalization +rates are available for 12 states and the US from RSV-NET spanning +2017-18 to present (RSV-NET CDC +Webpage). Age-specific weekly rates per 100,000 population are +reported in this system.
+The data has been standardized and posted on the rsv-forecast-hub +GitHub target-data/ +folder and is updated weekly. The target in this data is the weekly +number of hospitalizations in each given state (inc_hosp variable), for +all ages and for each age group. To obtain counts, we have converted +RSV-NET weekly rates based on state population sizes. This method +assumes that RSV-NET hospitals are representative of the whole state. To +obtain national US counts, we have used the rates provided for the +“overall RSV-NET network”. The data covers 2017-present. Reported age +groups include: [0-6 months], [6-12 months], [1-2 yr], [2-4 yr], [5-17 +yr], [18-49 yr], [50-64 yr], and 65+ years. The standardized dataset +includes week-, state-, and age-specific RSV counts (the target), rates, +and population sizes.
+[TBD]
+-Updated 2024/03/01 14:19 +Updated 2024/03/01 17:07
RSV hospital admission forecasts for the United States (national-level) for all age groups (0-130yr):
- - + +State-level forecasts
- - + +National-level forecasts by Age
- - + +State-level forecasts by Age