From 399950da5bc077ed165488c7b80b46ad24a2bee3 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Guido Espana Date: Mon, 8 Mar 2021 17:13:57 -0500 Subject: [PATCH] Updated forecasts from NotreDame-FRED team --- .../2021-03-08-NotreDame-FRED.csv | 481 ++++++++++++++++++ 1 file changed, 481 insertions(+) create mode 100644 data-processed/NotreDame-FRED/2021-03-08-NotreDame-FRED.csv diff --git a/data-processed/NotreDame-FRED/2021-03-08-NotreDame-FRED.csv b/data-processed/NotreDame-FRED/2021-03-08-NotreDame-FRED.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000000..9b5488183c --- /dev/null +++ b/data-processed/NotreDame-FRED/2021-03-08-NotreDame-FRED.csv @@ -0,0 +1,481 @@ +forecast_date,target,location,target_end_date,type,quantile,value +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead cum death,17,2021-03-13,quantile,0.01,22968.96 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead cum death,17,2021-03-13,quantile,0.025,22975 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead cum death,17,2021-03-13,quantile,0.05,22984 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead cum death,17,2021-03-13,quantile,0.1,22994.6 +2021-03-08,1 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death,21,2021-03-13,quantile,0.975,207 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,21,2021-03-13,quantile,0.99,234.07999999999993 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,21,2021-03-13,point,NA,113 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.01,14 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.025,16 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.05,19 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.1,25 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.15,29 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.2,33 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.25,37 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.3,42 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.35,46 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.4,49 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.45,55 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.5,59 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.55,62 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.6,65.80000000000007 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.65,70 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.7,74 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.75,78.50000000000006 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.8,83 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.85,89 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.9,95.20000000000005 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.95,105.09999999999997 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.975,110.55000000000001 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,quantile,0.99,117.07999999999993 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,26,2021-03-13,point,NA,59 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.01,4 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.025,5.475000000000001 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.05,8 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.1,10 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.15,13 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.2,15 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.25,17 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.3,18 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.35,20 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.4,21 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.45,23 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.5,24 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.55,26 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.6,28 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.65,30 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.7,32 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.75,33.25000000000006 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.8,36 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.85,40 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.9,46.10000000000008 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.95,56.049999999999955 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.975,63.52499999999998 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,quantile,0.99,70.01999999999998 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,27,2021-03-13,point,NA,24 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.01,221.8 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.025,234.4 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.05,242.8 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.1,253 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.15,262 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.2,269 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.25,275 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.3,281 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.35,287.6 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.4,294 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.45,299.20000000000005 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.5,305 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.55,310.8 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.6,317 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.65,325 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.7,331 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.75,341 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.8,348 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.85,361.6 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.9,387.8000000000002 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.95,429.99999999999994 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.975,473.19999999999993 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,quantile,0.99,543.3200000000002 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,39,2021-03-13,point,NA,305 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.01,40.99 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.025,53.475 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.05,60.95 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.1,68 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.15,72 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.2,76 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.25,79 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.3,82 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.35,84 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.4,87 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.45,89 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.5,91 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.55,94 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.6,96 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.65,98 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.7,100 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.75,103 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.8,107 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.85,111 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.9,115 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.95,121.04999999999995 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.975,130.57499999999993 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,quantile,0.99,140.03999999999996 +2021-03-08,1 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-13,point,NA,91 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.01,7172 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.025,7211.475 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.05,7224.8 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.1,7241 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.15,7249.85 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.2,7255 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.25,7261 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.3,7266.700000000001 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.35,7271 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.4,7274 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.45,7279 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.5,7283 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.55,7288 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.6,7293 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.65,7296 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.7,7302 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.75,7308 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.8,7313 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.85,7319.15 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.9,7328.1 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.95,7348.05 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.975,7370.575 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.99,7395.06 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-20,point,NA,7283 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.01,37.97 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.025,49.95 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.05,57 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.1,63 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.15,66.85000000000001 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.2,69 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.25,73 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.3,75 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.35,77 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.4,79 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.45,81 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.5,83 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.55,84 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.6,86 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.65,88 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.7,91 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.75,93 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.8,95 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.85,98 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.9,103 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.95,112.04999999999995 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.975,118 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,quantile,0.99,131.01 +2021-03-08,2 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-20,point,NA,83 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.01,7214.95 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.025,7264.95 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.05,7283.9000000000005 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.1,7304 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.15,7316 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.2,7324 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.25,7330 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.3,7336 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.35,7341 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.4,7347.5999999999995 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.45,7353 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.5,7359 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.55,7364 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.6,7370 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.65,7376.35 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.7,7382 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.75,7390 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.8,7395.2 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.85,7406.15 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.9,7420 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.95,7444.1 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.975,7468.674999999999 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.99,7516.0599999999995 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-03-27,point,NA,7359 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.01,37.989999999999995 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.025,51 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.05,54 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.1,58 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.15,61 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.2,63.80000000000001 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.25,66 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.3,68 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.35,70.65 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.4,72 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.45,74 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.5,75 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.55,77 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.6,78 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.65,80 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.7,82 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.75,84 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.8,87 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.85,91 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.9,94.10000000000008 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.95,101.04999999999995 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.975,109.52499999999998 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,quantile,0.99,117.03999999999996 +2021-03-08,3 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-03-27,point,NA,75 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.01,7257.9800000000005 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.025,7314 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.05,7335.85 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.1,7361 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.15,7372.85 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.2,7384 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.25,7393 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.3,7400 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.35,7407.6500000000005 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.4,7413 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.45,7421 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.5,7427 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.55,7432 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.6,7440 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.65,7448.35 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.7,7455 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.75,7464 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.8,7471.2 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.85,7484.3 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.9,7501 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.95,7528 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.975,7555.625 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.99,7627.01 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead cum death,55,2021-04-03,point,NA,7427 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.01,37 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.025,44 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.05,46 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.1,51.900000000000006 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.15,55 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.2,57 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.25,59 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.3,61 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.35,63 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.4,64 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.45,66 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.5,68 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.55,70 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.6,72 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.65,74 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.7,76 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.75,77 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.8,79.20000000000005 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.85,83 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.9,88 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.95,93.04999999999995 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.975,99 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,quantile,0.99,108.02999999999997 +2021-03-08,4 wk ahead inc death,55,2021-04-03,point,NA,68